Saturday, July 15, 2006

Evolution of Gullibility

I am 1/2 atheist, 1/2 religious, and 1/2 bad mathematician.

...I have a question...Why do most religious people reject the process of human evolution from one-cell organisms?

I have discussed this with many devout people and they never even read the simple wikipedia entries detailing all the evidence we have.

Project Mismanagement

As Project Manager, the coding group tells you there is an 85% probability they will complete on-time. The testing group gives you an 80% number. The implementation group also gives an 80% chance of on-time completion. What is the completion number for the whole project?

Nope...it's not the average...82%. And it's not your own personal guesstimate.

The actual on-time completion probability is 54%. Why? Because in this situation probabilities are multiplied.

This is one reason so many projects are late and over-budget. Managers are blissfully unaware they are actually barely on-time and on-budget until it's too late.

What's the solution? I think we know.